Editorial with Sujit Nair | What Went Wrong With Congress in Haryana? | Rahul Gandhi | Modi | BJP

[00:00:00] Namaskar! Welcome to another episode of Editorial. I am sorry I took a couple of days break, in fact I didn't. Like I committed to my viewers and like we had decided, we are spreading ourselves in Maharashtra to understand Maharashtra and which way Maharashtra is going as far as election is concerned.

[00:00:23] And that's exactly why I personally wanted to visit a few of the places in Interior Maharashtra. That is the first thing that I was busy with.

[00:00:34] And thanks to a lot of you, thanks to a lot of you who have supported us, I mean with almost everything we asked for, almost the amount we need a little more to reach our 6 lakhs target.

[00:00:50] I hope you will help us with that too. That being said, Maharashtra, we will come with the Maharashtra story starting tonight.

[00:01:00] We will start with our Maharashtra story and that will continue till the election results as far as Maharashtra is concerned.

[00:01:08] So that is Maharashtra. But, like I said, we haven't been doing too much as far as JNK and Haryana is concerned because we thought let's focus in Maharashtra.

[00:01:20] We don't have the wherewithal to go all over the place and then spread ourselves thin.

[00:01:24] We focused on Maharashtra. But, I would like today to talk to you about Haryana because it is very important.

[00:01:31] I would like to talk to you about the Congress loss in Haryana or the BJP's third time win in Haryana.

[00:01:39] Let's talk about it. Let's get right into the show.

[00:01:46] For starters, you know I hear a lot of people talking about

[00:01:52] This is all Gandhi's fault. This is Rahul Gandhi. Everything is Rahul Gandhi's mistake. Everything is Priyanka Gandhi's mistake. Everything.

[00:01:58] First of all, I think that is a very juvenile way of analyzing political situations and political results. Very juvenile way.

[00:02:07] I mean, it is that the ticket was given, you know, Rahul Gandhi had given tickets according to his whims and fancies and Priyanka Gandhi.

[00:02:18] All this, I think, is a very juvenile way of looking at politics. So, that is the first thing.

[00:02:24] Because when you win, when you win, Rahul Gandhi is God. When you lose, Rahul Gandhi is a dodo. That actually does not work.

[00:02:34] Because somewhere down the line, winning and losing is part of the game.

[00:02:40] This said, what we will introspect today is, winning a losing match makes you great.

[00:02:53] But losing a winning match is something that you really, really need to introspect.

[00:03:02] And that is the introspection that we will try and do today.

[00:03:06] And we will try and do through some facts and figures.

[00:03:10] What did BJP do right? And what did Congress do wrong?

[00:03:16] Now, the first thing is, everybody said Congress will win. Why did Congress lose?

[00:03:21] A lot of big people also, when I am saying big people, I mean experts, also said,

[00:03:25] we thought Congress will win. We don't understand how Congress lose.

[00:03:29] Now, the issue is, if you technically look at it, if you technically look at it, the state, the state was not really anti-Congress.

[00:03:40] Haryana was not really anti-Congress. Haryana was actually, in fact, to be very honest with you, let's get into some figures and then I will try and explain what I want to say.

[00:03:54] Otherwise, it will be difficult for me to explain. You see, in 2019, in 2019, BJP won 40 seats, Congress won 31 seats.

[00:04:05] Difference was 9 seats. Correct? Now, with that 9 seat difference in seats,

[00:04:11] BJP won 36.49% vote and Congress won 28.8% vote.

[00:04:20] Here also, there was a difference of almost 9% votes and roughly 9% votes.

[00:04:26] So, there was a difference of 9% votes and there was a difference of 9 seats.

[00:04:32] Now, if you look at 2024, things were not that way.

[00:04:39] The way it was is BJP won 48 and Congress only won 37 seats.

[00:04:44] The difference here was 11 seats.

[00:04:47] But, if you see the percentage of votes, BJP won 39.94% vote and Congress won 39.09% votes.

[00:04:59] The difference of votes here is hardly 0.1%. That is the only difference.

[00:05:07] They almost won the same vote which means the state was divided in half literally.

[00:05:16] Now, let's get further into it. Why am I saying this? Does it make sense?

[00:05:21] We are talking about seats, no? So, why are we talking about shares? Why are we changing the goalposts?

[00:05:26] Seats ka baat karo na? Excuse kyu deeta hai? Is what we will all say right?

[00:05:29] And you should say that. It's a very valid point.

[00:05:31] You see, the point that I am trying to make through this is when do you get a larger percentage of votes?

[00:05:41] You get a larger percentage of votes when your win is substantial.

[00:05:47] Every candidate from your party wins with a high margin of votes in their respective seats.

[00:05:54] Then your percentage of votes goes up. Which means that your win is very consolidated.

[00:06:00] Which means that boss yeh party jeetne mala tha and this party swept the polls.

[00:06:05] That is when the percentage is high and the seats are high.

[00:06:10] But when the percentage is low and you still have higher seats, which means that your candidates won.

[00:06:18] But in every constituency, your candidates won by a small percentage of votes.

[00:06:25] This is what it means.

[00:06:27] Achya. Now why am I saying this?

[00:06:30] I am not therefore saying this to give any extra credit to Congress or give any excuse for Congress, which I don't need to.

[00:06:39] Neither am I saying I am taking away any credit from Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:06:44] What I am trying to actually say is that Bharatiya Janata Party's strategy here worked magic.

[00:06:52] And I will tell you what I mean by that.

[00:06:56] You see, while when we think of Haryana, we think of Juts.

[00:07:00] All of us talks about, you know, it's a land of Juts.

[00:07:04] Now, actually speaking, Juts in Haryana are 27%.

[00:07:10] OBCs in Haryana is close to 40%.

[00:07:13] Bharatiya Janata Party in the last phase of its campaigning,

[00:07:19] in the last phase of its campaigning, focused on OBCs and tried to woo OBCs towards them.

[00:07:29] And this small percentage of victory is because they could have managed to woo the OBC towards them.

[00:07:37] That is that small percentage of votes that we are seeing.

[00:07:41] These are fence-sitters votes.

[00:07:44] Fence-sitter votes that moved to BJP in the last minute.

[00:07:49] That is what I was trying to prove through this percentage.

[00:07:53] The fence-sitter votes of OBC moved to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:07:59] And that is because Bharatiya Janata Party increased the OBC B category quota by 5%

[00:08:05] and also ensured that the creamy layer was increased from 6 lakhs to 8 lakhs.

[00:08:12] So, the people who could benefit out of that 5% quota of category B OBC

[00:08:19] in municipal jobs in panchayats and so on and so forth was wider.

[00:08:25] The beneficiaries were wider.

[00:08:27] And therefore, obviously those votes moved to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:08:34] A strategic move which actually worked for Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:08:38] Now let's come to SC votes.

[00:08:41] SC votes can be broadly categorized.

[00:08:46] Broadly, very broadly categorized into JATO votes and non-JATO votes.

[00:08:50] Kumari Shailaja represents the JATO votes.

[00:08:53] She comes from the JATO category.

[00:08:54] And Congress actually did fairly okay.

[00:08:58] They won 50% of the JATO votes.

[00:09:01] Bharatiya Janata Party managed to take away 35% of the JATO votes

[00:09:05] which otherwise should have fully gone to Congress.

[00:09:08] In fact, majority got to Congress.

[00:09:10] The conflict between Shailaja and Mr. Huda caused this.

[00:09:17] Caused this.

[00:09:19] So, the pilferage which happened in the JATO votes

[00:09:23] possibly happened because of the complete lack of enthusiasm of Kumari Shailaja.

[00:09:29] Who otherwise should have ensured that the JATO votes would have moved lock, stock and barrel to Congress.

[00:09:40] The JATO votes voted for the Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:09:46] 45% of non-JATO votes went to the Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:09:51] Only 33% went to Congress.

[00:09:53] The JATO votes,

[00:09:54] The JATO votes,

[00:09:56] The JATO votes that they were supposed to get,

[00:09:58] Congress was supposed to get,

[00:09:59] They didn't get the way they should have.

[00:10:01] And the non-JATO votes

[00:10:03] went to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:10:06] Bharatiya Janata Party dominated the non-JATO votes.

[00:10:09] So, what really happens now in this entire scenario?

[00:10:13] Bharatiya Janata Party, in the last leg of the election,

[00:10:17] managed to consolidate, A, the OBCs, by increasing the creamy layer and increasing the quota and so on and so forth.

[00:10:26] They managed to get the OBC on their side.

[00:10:29] And because of the infightings that were happening in Congress,

[00:10:34] because of the lack of enthusiasm of Kumari Shailaja and her team,

[00:10:39] even the JATO votes went to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:10:43] A large chunk of JATO votes went to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:10:46] Non-JATO votes also went to Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:10:50] So, Bharatiya Janata Party consolidated there.

[00:10:54] Okay.

[00:10:55] Now the scene changed.

[00:10:57] Because technically, when people were talking about Congress coming back to power,

[00:11:03] Congress sweeping and all that,

[00:11:04] these OBCs and these JATO's were with Congress at that point in time.

[00:11:12] Last minute swing had not happened.

[00:11:15] The fence-sitters were still sitting in the fence and actually tilting towards Congress.

[00:11:21] So, when we saw it from outside or when a lot of people saw it from outside,

[00:11:25] they saw this situation as a very pro-Congress situation.

[00:11:31] As a Congress, you know, a lot of them are sure that Congress is going to sweep the state.

[00:11:36] And when people like say Yogendra Yadav went visiting the state,

[00:11:41] they also got a feeling that people were pro-Congress.

[00:11:45] But these two very very important Googlies that Bharatiya Janata Party bold,

[00:11:54] really took Congress wicked.

[00:11:57] Now there is one more factor you need to consider.

[00:12:01] You see, as India is progressing, and as politics is getting dirtier,

[00:12:08] if you see statistically, which in one of my programs, I will take it, take you through.

[00:12:16] Statistically, you see new faces are doing reasonably well.

[00:12:22] New faces are doing, maybe the numbers may not say that, but if you see the trend,

[00:12:29] new faces are doing better than the old faces from a trend perspective.

[00:12:34] 60 out of the 90 faces that Bharatiya Janata Party gave tickets were new faces.

[00:12:42] People were okay with new faces.

[00:12:44] People were fed up with old faces.

[00:12:47] So that helped Bharatiya Janata Party in two perspectives.

[00:12:52] First is their anti-incumbency.

[00:12:54] It tackled that anti-incumbency factor because there was a new face on the block.

[00:13:00] And it also gave the voters certain amount of enthusiasm saying that,

[00:13:06] listen, you know, he is not a typical politician.

[00:13:08] There is no scam against him.

[00:13:10] There is no corruption against him.

[00:13:12] He is not seen as a typical, you know, corrupt, power hungry politician, new face.

[00:13:18] So they voted for them.

[00:13:19] So this was the third factor that worked in Bharatiya Janata Party's favour.

[00:13:24] So what am I trying to tell you?

[00:13:27] What I'm trying to tell you is,

[00:13:28] predominantly the state of Haryana was poised towards Congress.

[00:13:34] And I'm telling you this after three days of election results coming in.

[00:13:37] It was poised towards Congress.

[00:13:39] That is why a lot of experts when they went to Haryana,

[00:13:42] when they talked about Haryana,

[00:13:43] even some pollsters who did some polls in Haryana,

[00:13:46] they all favoured Congress because it was poised towards Congress.

[00:13:49] Three major steps.

[00:13:53] One is completely taking OBCs on their side helped Bharatiya Janata Party and helped them big time.

[00:14:02] Kumari Shailaja's lack of enthusiasm.

[00:14:08] Therefore, the SC votes moving towards Bharatiya Janata Party helped Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:14:15] New faces, which was surprising, but new faces did help Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:14:23] Therefore, Bharatiya Janata Party candidates won with smaller margin because that's what the vote share says.

[00:14:36] The candidates from Congress won with very good majority.

[00:14:42] They won the seat, but they couldn't get the number that was desired.

[00:14:47] This is the status.

[00:14:48] I will end my editorial with one statement.

[00:14:52] You see, this entire thing about caste senses,

[00:14:57] including caste inclusion, reservation,

[00:15:02] benefiting the OBCs, SCs, STs.

[00:15:05] These was what Rahul Gandhi was talking about all these years.

[00:15:10] He was talking about this.

[00:15:11] Most of these points were raised and spoken about by Rahul Gandhi.

[00:15:17] If you remember my last editorial and one statement I had made,

[00:15:22] where I said that it is not about standing in the podium and speaking,

[00:15:26] but it is about ensuring that it is percolated on ground.

[00:15:31] Unfortunately, these benefits were not seen in Congress manifesto in Haryana.

[00:15:39] The things that Rahul Gandhi is speaking around the country,

[00:15:43] which is good, which is what should happen.

[00:15:45] Those things were spoken by Rahul Gandhi, but it was done by Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:15:51] So somewhere down the line, as we call it,

[00:15:55] the USP, the unique selling proposition was hijacked by Bharatiya Janata Party

[00:16:01] and used by Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:16:03] Congress needs to think about this because Maharashtra election is round the corner.

[00:16:12] So broadly, this is what I believe,

[00:16:16] the way I see what went wrong for Congress in Haryana.

[00:16:21] And like I said, no taking away credit from Bharatiya Janata Party.

[00:16:25] I think they did a fairly good job.

[00:16:28] They did a brilliant last minute change.

[00:16:30] They did a brilliant last minute strategy, which got them the seeds.

[00:16:35] Which got them the seeds.

[00:16:39] And another five years to rule.

[00:16:43] That's from me today and till I see you on Monday.

[00:16:47] Namaskar.

[00:16:48] Like I said before, like I said yesterday, I repeat myself.

[00:16:53] We want six lakh of rupees to cover Maharashtra.

[00:16:56] We want six lakhs of rupees to cover Maharashtra election.

[00:16:59] And like I told you before, we really want to go to the nook and corner of Maharashtra

[00:17:03] and get that election report for you.

[00:17:06] Because Maharashtra is going to make a major difference to India's future.

[00:17:10] Maharashtra election is going to make a major difference to India's future.

[00:17:14] Mark my word.

[00:17:16] So, we require your help.

[00:17:20] So please contribute.

[00:17:22] Contribute to us through Razorp Pay

[00:17:24] or there's a system that we have, website and all of that, that our promo will tell you.

[00:17:31] But please do contribute.

[00:17:32] Give us that six lakhs that we need.

[00:17:34] Let us go out there and get back to you with what the truth is.

[00:17:40] 2019, the year that changed Maharashtra politics forever.

[00:17:45] We are Devendra Gangadhar Rao Fatnavis,

[00:17:48] Iswar Sakshya Shapat Gheto Ki.

[00:17:51] We are Ajita Nantrao Pavaat,

[00:17:54] Kambirya Purwak, Dr. Katan Karto Ki.

[00:17:56] We are Maharashtra,

[00:17:58] I am the God of God of God,

[00:17:59] Iswar Sakshya Shapat Gheto Ki.

[00:18:02] Kishri Eknaath Shinde Sahe,

[00:18:05] Kishri Eknaath Shinde Sahe,

[00:18:06] Yanda Bharatiya Janata Party Samarthan Deil,

[00:18:09] And Shri Eknaath Shinde He Mukhy Mantri Ho Ti.

[00:18:11] We are all которые of the people of Angers with the President for the country.

[00:18:17] We are all the Zunes of Maharashtra.

[00:18:23] Now, as Maharashtra gets set for the 2024 Assembly elections.

[00:18:28] We believe that we have the infrastructure, we have the know-how, we have the experience

[00:18:33] of covering Maharashtra.

[00:18:34] We want to cover the Maharashtra elections.

[00:18:36] What are the issues on the minds of the voter?

[00:18:38] Can sitting Chief Mr. Eknat Shinde defend his turf with the BJP and Ajit Pawar by his

[00:18:44] side?

[00:18:45] Or will the legacies of Thakres and Pawar prevail?

[00:18:49] What role will Manoj Jalange Patil, the face leading the Maratha agitation play?

[00:18:54] Now for us to cover the Maharashtra elections, we need some funds.

[00:18:57] We need money.

[00:18:58] We need around 5-6 lakh of rupees.

[00:19:02] I would urge our patrons, I would urge our viewers, viewers who appreciate our work, viewers

[00:19:10] who think we are worth that, I would urge you to contribute.

[00:19:15] I would urge you to contribute to this venture.

[00:19:19] Give us that 6 lakhs so that our journalists can go to nook and corner of Maharashtra.

[00:19:25] Find out exactly what the problem of Maharashtra is.

[00:19:28] Log on to our website hwnews.in, click on the subscribe button, select an amount you wish

[00:19:34] to contribute and support independent journalism.

[00:19:37] Stay ahead with our cutting-edge news app.

[00:19:41] Instantly access the latest shots in just one minute and breaking news in just 50 words.

[00:19:45] Download now for a smarter, faster news experience.

[00:19:49] Download now for a smarter, faster news experience.

[00:19:49] Download now for a superfood.

[00:19:49] Subscribe to our channel for more than 5-822-689-1976.

[00:19:49] Do not know how you are.

[00:19:50] Try this!